Darryl Sutter and the Calgary Flames

2003-2004

Free Agents Signed : Krzysztof Oliwa Josh Green Jesse Wallin Matt Davidson

Players Lost: Scott Nichol Mike Mottau

Chris Drury - July 3, 2003: Traded to Buffalo by Calgary with Steve Begin for Steve Reinprecht and Rhett Warrener

Bob Boughner - July 16, 2003: Traded to Carolina by Calgary for New Jersey's 4th round choice (previously acquired, Calgary selected Kristopher Hogg) in 2004 Entry Draft and Carolina's 5th round choice (Kevin Lalande) in 2005 Entry Draft

Mikka Kiprusoff - November 16, 2003: Traded to Calgary by San Jose for Calgary's 2nd round choice (Marc-Edouard Vlasic) in 2005 Entry Draft

Lynn Loyns - January 9, 2004: Traded to Calgary by San Jose for Calgary's 5th round choice (later traded to Florida - Florida selected Bret Nasby) in 2004 Entry Draft

Ville Nieminen - February 24, 2004: Traded to Calgary by Chicago for Jason Morgan and Calgary's 6th round choice (Joseph Fallon) in 2005 Entry Draft

Chris Simon - March 6, 2004: Traded to Calgary by NY Rangers with NY Rangers' 7th round choice (Matt Schneider) in 2004 Entry Draft for Jamie McLennan, Blair Betts and Greg Moore,

Marcus Nilson - March 8, 2004: Traded to Calgary by Florida for Calgary's 2nd round choice (David Booth) in 2004 Entry Draft

2004-2005 - Lockout

Free Agents Signed: F Jason Wiemer F Byron Ritchie

Players Lost : F Craig Conroy D Toni Lydman F Krzysztof Oliwa G Roman Turek

Daymond Langkow - August 26, 2004: Traded to Calgary by Phoenix for Denis Gauthier and Oleg Saprykin

2005-2006

Signed Free Agents: F Tony Amonte D Roman Hamrlik D Bryan Marchment F Darren McCarty

Player lost

F Dean McAmmond F Martin Gelinas F Ville Nieminen

Chris Clark - August 4, 2005: Traded to Washington by Calgary with Calgary's 7th round choice (Andrew Glass) in 2007 Entry Draft for Washington's 7th round choice (Devin Didiomete) in 2006 Entry Draft and Washington's 6th round choice (later traded to Colorado - Colorado selected Jens Hellgren) in 2007 Entry Draft,

Philippe Sauve - August 9, 2005: Traded to Calgary by Colorado for future considerations,

Toni Lydman - August 25, 2005: Traded to Buffalo by Calgary for Buffalo's 3rd round choice (John Armstrong) in 2006 Entry Draft,

Kristian Huselius - December 2, 2005: Traded to Calgary by Florida for Steve Montador and Dustin Johner

Steve Reinprecht - February 2, 2006: Traded to Phoenix by Calgary with Philippe Sauve for Brian Boucher and Mike Leclerc,

Cale Hulse - March 14, 2000: Traded to Nashville by Calgary with Calgary's 3rd round choice (Denis Platonov) in 2001 Entry Draft for Sergei Krivokrasov,

Jamie Lundmark - March 9, 2006: Traded to Calgary by Phoenix for Calgary's 4th round choice (later traded to NY Islanders - NY Islanders selected Doug Rogers) in 2006 Entry Draft

Jason Wiemer - March 9, 2006: Traded to New Jersey by Calgary for New Jersey's 4th round choice (Hugo Carpentier) in 2006 Entry Draft,

2006-2007

Signed Free Agents - D Andrei Zyuzin F Jeff Friesen G Jamie McLennan D Brad Ference F Eric Godard

Players Lost - F Shean Donovan F Chris Simon F Craig MacDonald G Brian Boucher

Alex Tanguay - June 24, 2006: Traded to Calgary by Colorado for Jordan Leopold, Calgary's 2nd round choice (Codey Burki) in 2006 Entry Draft and Calgary's 2nd round choice (Trevor Cann) in 2007 Entry Draft

Craig Conroy - January 29, 2007: Traded to Calgary by Los Angeles for Jamie Lundmark, Calgary's 4th round choice (Dwight King) in 2007 Entry Draft and Calgary's 2nd round choice (later traded back to Calgary - Calgary selected Mitch Wahl) in 2008 Entry Draft

Brad Stuart - February 10, 2007: Traded to Calgary by Boston with Wayne Primeau and Washington's 4th round choice (previously acquired, Calgary selected T.J. Brodie) in 2008 Entry Draft for Andrew Ference and Chuck Kobasew,

David Hale - February 27, 2007: Traded to Calgary by New Jersey with New Jersey's 5th round choice (later traded to Buffalo - Buffalo selected Jean-Simon Allard) in 2007 Entry Draft for Calgary's 3rd round choice (Nick Palmieri) in 2007 Entry Draft

2007-2008

Free Agent Signings - Cory Sarich Owen Nolan Anders Eriksson Grant Stevenson Mark Smith Curtis Joseph

Players Lost - Roman Hamrlik Byron Ritchie Brad Stuart Brad Ference Jamie McLennan

Andrei Zyuzin - June 22, 2007: Traded to Chicago by Calgary with Steve Marr for Adrian Aucoin and Chicago's 7th round choice (C. J. Severyn) in 2007 Entry Draft

Mikael Backlund - June 22, 2007: 18th Overall pick to St Louis (Ian Cole) for 24th Pick (Backlund) and a Third Round pick in 2007 (John Negrin)

Jim Vandemeer - February 20, 2008: Traded to Calgary by Philadelphia for Calgary's 3rd round choice (Adam Morrison) in 2009 Entry Draft

2008-2009

Free Agents Signed - Curtis Glencross Todd Bertuzzi Jamie Lundmark Andre Roy Lawrence Nycholat

Players Lost - Eric Godard Curtis Joseph Kristian Huselius Owen Nolan David Hale

Michael Cammalleri - June 20, 2008: Traded to Calgary by Los Angeles with Calgary's 2nd round choice (previously acquired, Calgary selected Mitch Wahl) in 2008 Entry Draft for Calgary's 1st round choice (later traded to Anaheim - Anaheim selected Jake Gardiner) in 2008 Entry Draft and Calgary's 2nd round choice (later traded to Carolina - Carolina selected Brian Dumoulin) in 2009 Entry Draft

Alex Tanguay - June 20, 2008: Traded to Montreal by Calgary with Calgary's 5th round choice (Maxim Trunev) in 2008 Entry Draft for Montreal's 1st round choice (Greg Nemisz) in 2008 Entry Draft and Montreal's 2nd round choice (later traded to Colorado - Colorado selected Stefan Elliott) in 2009 Entry Draft

Kyle Greentree - June 30, 2008: Traded to Calgary by Philadelphia for Tim Ramholt

Rene Bourque - July 1, 2008: Traded to Calgary by Chicago for Calgary's 2nd round choice (later traded to Toronto - Toronto selected Brad Ross) in 2010 Entry Draft

Jordan Leopold - March 4, 2009: Traded to Calgary by Colorado for Ryan Wilson, Lawrence Nycholat and Montreal's 2nd round choice (previously acquired, Colorado selected Stefan Elliott) in 2009 Entry Draft

Olli Jokinen - March 4, 2009: Traded to Calgary by Phoenix with Phoenix's 3rd round choice (later traded to Florida - Florida selected Josh Birkholz) in 2009 Entry Draft for Matthew Lombardi, Brandon Prust and Calgary's 1st round choice (Brandon Gormley) in 2010 Entry Draft

2009-2010

Free Agents Signed - Fredrik Sjostrom Garth Murray Riley Armstrong Staffan Kronwall Jason Jaffray Brian McGrattan Nigel Dawes

Players Lost - Mike Cammalleri Adrian Aucoin Warren Peters Todd Bertuzzi Andre Roy Rhett Warrener Jamie Lundmark

Tim Erixon - June 26, 2009 Traded to Calgary (23rd Overall Pick) with 3rd Round Choice (Nicolas Deslauriers) for 20th Overall Pick Jacob Josefson New Jersey Devils

Jay Bouwmeester - June 27, 2009: Traded to Calgary by Florida for Jordan Leopold and Phoenix's 3rd round choice (previously acquired, Florida selected Josh Birkholz) in 2009 Entry Draft, June 27, 2009.

Ryan Howse - June 27, 2009: (74th Overall Pick) Traded to Calgary for Draft Pick 84 (3rd Round) Nicolas Deslauriers (Acquired in previous trade) and Fourth Round Pick (Garrett Wilson)

Brandon Prust - June 27, 2009: Traded to Calgary by Phoenix for Jim Vandermeer

Ketih Seabrook - July 17, 2009 : Traded to Calgary by Washington for Future Considerations

Anton Stralman - July 27, 2009: Traded to Calgary by Toronto with Colin Stuart and Toronto's 7th round choice in 2012 Entry Draft for Wayne Primeau and Calgary's 2nd round choice in 2011 Entry Draft,

Anton Stralman -September 29, 2009: Traded to Columbus by Calgary for Columbus' 3rd round choice (Max Reinhart) in 2010 Entry Draft

Kyle Greentree - October 7, 2009: Traded to Chicago by Calgary for Aaron Johnson

Dion Phaneuf - January 31, 2010: Traded to Toronto by Calgary with Fredrik Sjostrom and Keith Aulie for Matt Stajan, Niklas Hagman, Jamal Mayers and Ian White

Olli Jokinen - February 2, 2010: Traded to NY Rangers by Calgary with Brandon Prust for Christopher Higgins and Ales Kotalik

Vesa Toskala - March 3, 2010: Traded to Calgary by Anaheim for Curtis McElhinney

Dustin Boyd - March 3, 2010: Traded to Nashville by Calgary for Nashville's 4th round choice (Bill Arnold) in 2010 Entry Draft,

Steve Staios - March 3, 2010: Traded to Calgary by Edmonton for Aaron Johnson and Calgary's 3rd round choice in 2011 Entry Draft

2010-2011

Free Agent Signings: Alex Tanguay Olli Jokinen Raitis Ivanans Tim Jackman Ryan Stone Stefan Meyer Brendan Morrison Brendan Mikkelson

Players Lost: Eric Nystrom Nigel Dawes Christopher Higgins David Van der Gulik Brett Palin Jamal Mayers

Hendrik Karlsson - June 26, 2010 Traded to Calgary for 6th Round Draft Pick in 2010 (Konrad Abeltshauser)

Jason Jaffray - June 30, 2010: Traded to Anaheim by Calgary with future considerations for Logan MacMillan and future considerations

Ian White - November 17, 2010: Traded to Carolina with Brett Sutter for Anton Babchuck and Tom Kostopoulos

Revisit After Game One Stats - Current Standings

So just to refresh our minds on the different possibilities a team could have going into game one of the year.

There were 8 different scenarios.

1. Previous Playoff Team who Won vs Previous Playoff Team

2. Previous Playoff Team who Lost vs Previous Playoff Team

3. Previous Playoff Team who Won vs Previous Lottery Team

4. Previous Playoff Team who Lost vs Previous Lottery Team

5. Previous Lottery Team who Won vs Previous Playoff Team

6. Previous Lottery Team who Lost vs Previous Playoff Team

7. Previous Lottery Team who Lost vs Previous Lottery Team

8. Previous Lottery Team who lost vs Previous Lottery Team

I thought I would look at the current standings to see how they compare to the stats over the last 4 years.

Since you cannot have a half of a team, I either round up or round down the category.

1. 61% of these teams in the past 4 years have made the playoffs (3.05 Teams)

Colorado

Phoenix

Los Angeles

Buffalo

Philadelphia

Currently there are 3 teams in a playoff position.

2. 47% of these teams in the past 4 years have made the playoffs (2.35 Teams)

Chicago

Ottawa

Pittsburgh

Boston

Vancouver

Currently there are 4 teams in playoff position.

3. 88% of these teams in the past 4 years have made the playoffs (2.64 Teams)

Detroit

San Jose

Nashville

Currently there are 2 teams in playoff position.

4. 77% of these teams in the past 4 years have made the playoffs (2.31 Teams)

Montreal

New Jersey

Washington

Currently there are 2 teams in playoff position.

5. 51% of these teams in the past 4 years have made the playoffs (2.55 Teams)

St Louis

New York Rangers

Atlanta

Dallas

Toronto

Currently there are 3 teams in playoff positions.

6. 29% of these teams in the past 4 years have made the playoffs (.58 Teams)

Anaheim

Columbus

Currently there is 1 team in playoff position.

7. 42% of these teams in the past 4 years have made the playoffs (1.26 Teams)

Tampa Bay

Edmonton

Carolina

Currently there is 1 team in playoff position.

8. 33% of these teams in the past 4 years have made the playoffs (1.32 Teams)

Calgary

Florida

Minnesota

New York Islanders

Currently none of these teams are in a playoff position.

After rounding up or down I can match all but one team of the 16 currently holding down a playoff position.

West 8/8

East 7/8

Does the first game really matter to the final standings? It might

Flames After 23

Record - 9-12-2 for 20 Points

Notable Stats

6 of the 9 wins, Flames have scored a PP goal.

In all 4 games in which they have scored SH, they have won.

Flames have only allowed 1 SH goal.

In the games after only scoring 1 or getting shut out, the Flames are 5-2-1.

Flames are 6-3 when getting 5 or more Power Play Opportunities.

Flames are 3-5-1 when allowing 5 or more Power Play Opportunities.

In 4 road wins, Flames have allowed 4 goals against.

Backlund, Tanguay continue to shoot a lot more in looses than in wins.

Backlund - 20 shots in 9 wins - 39 shots in 14 losses.

Tanguay - 8 shots in 9 wins - 25 shots in 14 losses.

Tanguay has 0 PIM in wins and has 12 PIM in losses.

Meyer also has 0 PIM in wins, 17 PIM in losses.

Bourque, Giordano and Staois have more PIM in wins than in losses.

Lastly if you take the previous game for the opponent before they play the Flames. The Overall record for the opponents is

15-4-3

Teams have won 15 of the 22 games before playing the Flames.

If you add up their point total you get 33 points.

Washington and Philly have 34 points to lead the league and have played 25 and 24 games respectively.

On the Road the opponents have a combined record of 10-0-2. The Flames have not faced a team coming off a regulation lost when on the road.

Interesting Flames Stats After 12

- Have scored a SHG in 3 games. Average 2.5 more goals per game when scoring while in the penalty box

- Have scored a PP goal in half their games. Average 2.5 more goals a game when scoring with the man advantage

- Have fought in half their games. There is almost 4 more goals combined in those games compared to when they don't fight. (1.6 more for Calgary and 2.2 for the opponents.)

- Have yet to win after 3+ days between games (including opener)

- Scored first goal 9 times but have a better record when tied after first period than when leading after first

- Flames are undefeated when one of these players score - Iginla, Bourque, Morrison, Conroy, White and Bouwmeester

- Backlund and Tanguay shoot more in loses. Gio is a team best +7 in wins and team worst -5 in loses

NHL Stats - After a Touchdown

In my opinion, 7 is the magic number of goals allowed when it becomes embarrassing. Sure a 7-4 game is a lot closer than a 6-0 game but scoring 7 or more is a lot more rare 2% of games over the last 4 years.

How do teams who eventually make the playoffs react the next game to this embarrassment.

Of the total 197 games where at least 7 goals were scored by one team, 75 of them involved teams who made the playoffs the same year.

The record of those teams in these games are 44-31 59% Winning Percentage.

Teams who miss the playoffs lose more often by allowing 7 or more. There were 122 games in this situation.

The record in the next game for non-playoff teams are 51-71 42% Winning Percentage.

Good teams are able to bounce back from bad losses and also avoid giving up a touchdown during a game.

Lets see how the Flames do Wednesday night in Detroit.

Kicking - Goal or No Goal

So I just saw the hilights of the Oilers/Panthers game and seen the game winning goal by Horcoff which was reviewed and allowed even though from the replay it appears to be kicked/redirected in.

Now normally I could care less about the Oilers but it made me think about another team I normally care less about, the Canucks and the playoffs last year where there also was a redirected shot off a skate that ended up going into the goal but was disallowed.

When comparing the two, it makes no sense that Horcoff's goal counts and Sedin's doesnt.

Here is the video of Mike Murphy Explanation of the call made from the playoffs

Care to explain this one Mike Murphy???

After Game one - Chances your team makes the playoffs

Last week I looked at team chances of making the playoffs based on the result of the previous season and who you play on opening night the next season. Click Here

There were 8 different scenarios your team could have been in after game 1

1. Previous Playoff Team who Won vs Previous Playoff Team

2. Previous Playoff Team who Lost vs Previous Playoff Team

3. Previous Playoff Team who Won vs Previous Lottery Team

4. Previous Playoff Team who Lost vs Previous Lottery Team

5. Previous Lottery Team who Won vs Previous Playoff Team

6. Previous Lottery Team who Lost vs Previous Playoff Team

7. Previous Lottery Team who Lost vs Previous Lottery Team

8. Previous Lottery Team who lost vs Previous Lottery Team

I know Florida hasn't played yet, but really its unlikely they make the playoffs anyway.

So for each scenario I found of the percentage of teams who then went on to make the playoffs.

Here are the results with each team in each category

1. 61% of these teams in the past 4 years have made the playoffs (3.05 Teams)

Colorado

Phoenix

Los Angeles

Buffalo

Philadelphia

2. 47% of these teams in the past 4 years have made the playoffs (2.35 Teams)

Chicago

Ottawa

Pittsburgh

Boston

Vancouver

3. 88% of these teams in the past 4 years have made the playoffs (2.64 Teams)

Detroit

San Jose

Nashville

4. 77% of these teams in the past 4 years have made the playoffs (2.31 Teams)

Montreal

New Jersey

Washington

5. 51% of these teams in the past 4 years have made the playoffs (2.55 Teams)

St Louis

New York Rangers

Atlanta

Dallas

Toronto

6. 29% of these teams in the past 4 years have made the playoffs (.58 Teams)

Anaheim

Columbus

7. 42% of these teams in the past 4 years have made the playoffs (1.68 Teams)

Tampa Bay

Edmonton

Carolina

Florida?

8. 33% of these teams in the past 4 years have made the playoffs (1 Team)

Calgary

Minnesota

New York Islanders

Here is some crazy accuracy to this now. If you take playoff predictions from TSN, The The Hockey News, My predictions as well as what the standings would be based on the Over/Under for team points from Vegas, and compare them with a combination of the stats about you get these results. Note: You obviously cannot have half a team make the playoffs so in all cases I rounded up to the nearest team.

TSN

East 75% Accurate

West 88% accurate

THN

East 88% Accurate

West 88% Accurate

My Prediction

East 88% Accurate

West 88% Accurate

Vegas Over/Under

East 88% Accurate

West 88% Accurate

Overall 86% Accurate

Now most people in hockey will say the result of the first game does not make the season, but after looking at these stats and comparing them to the experts (minus myself) predictions and being that accurate its hard to argue against those stats.

I will look at these results and compare them to the final standings to see if they stay true.

Chances Your Team Makes Playoffs after Game 1

Getting off to a good start, does that affect the entire season? I looked back at the last 4 years, I took into effect the result of either making the playoffs or missing them from the previous year. Now whether they won or loss that first game I checked the end of year standings to see if they had made the playoffs or not. Surprisingly from year to year, the stats remained fairly the same.

The 8 different possibilities are:

1. Previous Playoff Team who Won vs Previous Playoff Team

2. Previous Playoff Team who Lost vs Previous Playoff Team

3. Previous Playoff Team who Won vs Previous Lottery Team

4. Previous Playoff Team who Lost vs Previous Lottery Team

5. Previous Lottery Team who Won vs Previous Playoff Team

6. Previous Lottery Team who Lost vs Previous Playoff Team

7. Previous Lottery Team who Lost vs Previous Lottery Team

8. Previous Lottery Team who lost vs Previous Lottery Team

Here are the Percentages of the Team 1's who made the playoffs, after a Win, based on the stats collected from the 8 categories above.

Team 1 vs Team 2

ANA vs DET 51%

ATL vs WAS 51%

BOS vs PHO 61%

BUF vs OTT 61%

CAL vs EDM 42%

CAR vs MIN 42%

CHI vs COL 61%

CLB vs SJS 51%

COL vs CHI 61%

DAL vs NJD 51%

DET vs ANA 88%

EDM vs CAL 42%

FLO vs EDM 42%

LA vs VAN 61%

MIN vs CAR 42%

MTL vs TOR 88%

NAS vs ANA 88%

NJD vs DAL 88%

NYI vs DAL 42%

NYR vs BUF 51%

OTT vs BUF 61%

PHI vs PIT 61%

PHO vs BOS 61%

PIT vs PHI 61%

SJS vs CLB 88%

STL vs PHI 51%

TB vs ATL 42%

TOR vs MTL 51%

VAN vs LA 61%

WAS vs ATL 88%

And here are the Percentages of Team 1's who made the playoffs, after a Lost, based on the stats collected from the 8 categories above.

ANA vs DET 29%

ATL vs WAS 29%

BOS vs PHO 47%

BUF vs OTT 47%

CAL vs EDM 32%

CAR vs MIN 32%

CHI vs COL 47%

CLB vs SJS 29%

COL vs CHI 47%

DAL vs NJD 29%

DET vs ANA 77%

EDM vs CAL 32%

FLO vs EDM 32%

LA vs VAN 47%

MIN vs CAR 32%

MTL vs TOR 77%

NAS vs ANA 77%

NJD vs DAL 77%

NYI vs DAL 32%

NYR vs BUF 29%

OTT vs BUF 47%

PHI vs PIT 47%

PHO vs BOS 47%

PIT vs PHI 47%

SJS vs CLB 77%

STL vs PHI 29%

TB vs ATL 32%

TOR vs MTL 29%

VAN vs LA 47%

WAS vs ATL 77%

The Difference between a Win and Lost also followed a pattern over the 4 years.

1. Previous Playoff Team who Won vs Previous Playoff Team

2. Previous Playoff Team who Lost vs Previous Playoff Team

3. Previous Playoff Team who Won vs Previous Lottery Team

4. Previous Playoff Team who Lost vs Previous Lottery Team

5. Previous Lottery Team who Won vs Previous Playoff Team

6. Previous Lottery Team who Lost vs Previous Playoff Team

7. Previous Lottery Team who Lost vs Previous Lottery Team

8. Previous Lottery Team who lost vs Previous Lottery Team

Win vs Lost

1 vs 2 - 61% - 47% - 14% Difference

3 vs 4 - 88% - 77% - 11% Difference

5 vs 6 - 51% - 29% - 22% Difference

7 vs 8 - 42% - 33% - 9% Difference

As you can see, whether you win or loose after making the playoffs the previous season, the percentage of teams repeating a playoff season is a lot better than trying to get back into the playoffs from the outside.

Teams who won their first game, made the playoffs more than those who lost their first game.

Also the percentages of teams who beat a team who previously made the playoffs in your first game, was a lot larger than those teams who lost.

I really enjoy after researching as much as I did, the results are consistent.

What do you think?